Trading Ranch Calendar
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Upcoming Events
Thursday, November 12
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8:30 – 8:31amContinuing Jobless Claims — Est. TBD | Prev. +23K📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: Week of November 7, 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +23K
📋 Source: DOL
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Number of people currently receiving unemployment benefits (1-week lagged from Initial Claims). Released every Thursday 8:30 AM ET with Initial Claims.
Friday, November 13
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8:30 – 8:31amPPI YoY — Est. TBD | Prev. +5.4%📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +5.4%
📋 Source: BLS
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Year-over-year change in the Producer Price Index. Released same day/time as PPI MoM.
Tuesday, November 17
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8:30 – 8:31amExport Prices MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. TBD📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: TBD
📋 Source: BLS
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Monthly change in prices of goods exported from the U.S. Released same day as Import Prices. -
8:30 – 8:31amRetail Sales Ex Gas & Autos MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. TBD📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: TBD
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Core retail sales excluding both gasoline and auto purchases ("Retail Control Group"). Released with Retail Sales (~15th, 8:30 AM). Closely tracks personal consumption in GDP. -
9:15 – 9:16amCapacity Utilization Rate — Est. TBD | Prev. +76.9%📅 Release: 9:15 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +76.9%
📋 Source: Fed
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Percentage of industrial production capacity in use. Released with Industrial Production.
Wednesday, November 18
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8:30 – 8:31amBuilding Permits — Est. TBD | Prev. +1400K📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +1400K
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Building Permits measures the number of new residential building permits issued by the government. It is one of the most important leading indicators for the housing market because it signals future construction activity and, by extension, future demand for labor, raw materials (lumber, copper), and consumer durables. Because it is less affected by weather than "Housing Starts," it is often considered a more reliable gauge of the underlying trend in the housing sector.
🟢 Beat (Hot) 📈: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ▲/▼
🔴 Miss (Cool) 📉: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ▼/▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
📈 = Growth Pipeline—A surge in permits suggests builders are confident in future demand; bullish for the economy but can be hawkish for rates.
📉 = Pipeline Freeze—A drop in permits suggests builders are pulling back due to high costs or low buyer traffic; a classic early-warning sign of a slowdown. -
8:30 – 8:31amHousing Starts — Est. TBD | Prev. +1221K📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +1221K
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Housing Starts measures the number of new residential construction projects that began during the month. Released by the Census Bureau, this is a "coincident" indicator of economic strength. It tracks the actual deployment of capital and labor into the housing sector. Housing Starts are notoriously volatile because they are highly sensitive to weather conditions (e.g., a cold winter in Texas can cause a "Miss" regardless of demand). Despite the volatility, it is a key component of GDP and a major driver for the "Real Economy," affecting demand for everything from lumber to heavy machinery.
🟢 Beat (Hot) 📈: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ▲/▼
🔴 Miss (Cool) 📉: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ▼/▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
📈 = Active Expansion—Builders are actively breaking ground; signals high confidence and a "tight" housing market that needs supply.
📉 = Construction Stall—High input costs or poor weather are halting projects; can lead to future supply shortages and higher home prices. -
10:00 – 10:01amPending Home Sales MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. -7.3%📅 Release: 10:00 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: -7.3%
📋 Source: NAR
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Pending Home Sales MoM measures the month-over-month percentage change in signed contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops. Released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) approximately four to five weeks after month-end at 10:00 AM ET. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) leads closed Existing-Home Sales by one to two months, making it a forward-looking housing demand indicator. A beat signals improving buyer confidence and supply absorption; a miss suggests softening demand, often driven by higher mortgage rates or weak affordability. -
10:00 – 10:01amPending Home Sales MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. +1.4%📅 Release: 10:00 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +1.4%
📋 Source: NAR
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Pending Home Sales MoM measures the month-over-month percentage change in signed contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops. Released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) approximately four to five weeks after month-end at 10:00 AM ET. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) leads closed Existing-Home Sales by one to two months, making it a forward-looking housing demand indicator. A beat signals improving buyer confidence and supply absorption; a miss suggests softening demand, often driven by higher mortgage rates or weak affordability.
Thursday, November 19
-
8:30 – 8:31amContinuing Jobless Claims — Est. TBD | Prev. +23K📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: Week of November 14, 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +23K
📋 Source: DOL
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Number of people currently receiving unemployment benefits (1-week lagged from Initial Claims). Released every Thursday 8:30 AM ET with Initial Claims.
Monday, November 23
-
9:45 – 9:46amS&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI™ — Est. TBD | Prev. +56.0%📅 Release: 9:45 AM ET
📅 Period: November 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +56.0%
📋 Source: S&P Global
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™ Flash is a preliminary estimate based on ~85% of monthly survey responses. Released at 9:45 AM ET on the 3rd Thursday of each month — approximately 2 weeks ahead of the Final reading. Often the first major macro release of the month window; market-moving due to its early signal on production, orders, and hiring trends. -
9:45 – 9:46amS&P Global Flash US Services PMI™ — Est. TBD | Prev. +57.9%📅 Release: 9:45 AM ET
📅 Period: November 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +57.9%
📋 Source: S&P Global
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
The S&P Global US Services PMI™ Flash is a preliminary estimate for the services sector, released alongside the Flash Manufacturing PMI at 9:45 AM ET on the 3rd Thursday of each month. Covers the largest sector of the US economy (~80% of GDP). The Flash Composite PMI combines Mfg + Svcs to give the broadest same-day read on economic momentum.
Tuesday, November 24
-
10:00 – 10:01amRichmond Manufacturing Index — Est. TBD | Prev. +2.0%📅 Release: 10:00 AM ET
📅 Period: November 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +2.0%
📋 Source: Richmond Fed
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Activity Index. Last Tuesday of month at 10:00 AM ET. Free from richmondfed.org.
Wednesday, November 25
-
8:30 – 8:31amPersonal Spending MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. TBD📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: TBD
📋 Source: BEA
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Monthly change in personal consumption expenditures. Released with Personal Income MoM and PCE data (BEA, last week of month, 8:30 AM ET). Key driver of GDP. -
8:30 – 8:31amDurable Goods Orders MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. +1.8%📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +1.8%
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Durable Goods Orders measures the change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for "hard goods"—items with a life expectancy of at least three years. This includes everything from computers and industrial machinery to civilian aircraft and defense equipment. Because these items represent a significant capital investment, this report is a major indicator of future industrial production and business confidence. The Headline number is notoriously volatile due to large "lumpy" orders for commercial aircraft (Boeing) and defense contracts.
🟢 Beat (Hot) 🔥: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ▲/▼
🔴 Miss (Cool) ❄️: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ▼/▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
🔥 = Industrial Surge—Massive new orders suggest manufacturers will be ramping up production and hiring in the coming months.
❄️ = Manufacturing Slump—A sharp drop in orders indicates businesses and consumers are delaying major capital expenditures. -
8:30 – 8:31amContinuing Jobless Claims — Est. TBD | Prev. +23K📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: Week of November 21, 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +23K
📋 Source: DOL
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Number of people currently receiving unemployment benefits (1-week lagged from Initial Claims). Released every Thursday 8:30 AM ET with Initial Claims. -
8:30 – 8:31amPCE Price Index MoM — Est. TBD | Prev. +0.5%📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +0.5%
📋 Source: BEA
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index measures the change in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers. Unlike the "Core" version, this "Headline" figure includes food and energy costs. While the Fed focuses on Core for long-term policy, Headline PCE is what consumers actually feel at the pump and grocery store, making it a key driver of inflation expectations and "real" consumer spending power.
🟢 Beat (Hot) 🔥: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ▼
🔴 Miss (Cool) ❄️: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
🔥 = Broad-Based Inflation—Rising energy/food costs are keeping headline inflation high; reduces discretionary spending.
❄️ = Cost Relief—Declining commodity prices are providing relief to households; supports a "soft landing" narrative. -
8:30 – 8:31amCore Durable Goods Orders MoM (Ex-Defense) — Est. TBD | Prev. +0.5%📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +0.5%
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Core Durable Goods Orders measure the monthly change in new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for "hard goods"—items intended to last at least three years (machinery, computers, appliances)—specifically excluding transportation equipment. This removal of the volatile aircraft and auto sectors provides a cleaner signal of business investment and consumer demand. It is a vital leading indicator: rising orders today mean increased factory production and hiring tomorrow.
🟢 Beat (Hot) 🔥: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ▲/▼
🔴 Miss (Cool) ❄️: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ▼/▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
🔥 = Industrial Expansion—Businesses are investing in equipment; suggests strong corporate confidence and future productivity gains.
❄️ = Capex Slowdown—Companies are pausing big-ticket purchases; a primary signal that the economy is cooling or bracing for a downturn. -
11:00 – 11:01amKansas City Fed Manufacturing — Est. TBD | Prev. +14.0%📅 Release: 11:00 AM ET
📅 Period: November 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +14.0%
📋 Source: KC Fed
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey. Last Thursday of month at 11:00 AM ET. Free from kansascityfed.org.
Friday, November 27
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8:30 – 8:31amAdvance Wholesale Inventories — Est. TBD | Prev. +9.7%📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +9.7%
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Advance Wholesale Inventories measures the monthly change in the value of goods held in stock by wholesalers (the "middlemen"). Released by the Census Bureau, this data is a direct input for GDP calculations. Because wholesalers sit between production and consumption, this report is an excellent indicator of the "supply chain health." Rising inventories can mean wholesalers are preparing for a spike in retail orders, or that the pipeline is backing up because consumers have stopped buying.
🟢 Beat (Higher) 📈: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ↔️/▼
🔴 Miss (Lower) 📉: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ↔️/▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
📈 = Pipeline Expansion—Wholesalers are building stock; mathematically positive for GDP but potentially bearish if it indicates a lack of retail demand.
📉 = Pipeline Lean—Wholesalers are moving goods quickly to retailers; suggests strong end-user demand but acts as a short-term drag on GDP. -
8:30 – 8:31amAdvance Retail Inventories — Est. TBD | Prev. +0.3%📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: +0.3%
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
Advance Retail Inventories measures the monthly change in the value of inventory held by the retail sector. Released by the Census Bureau, this is a "double-edged sword" indicator. While increasing inventories contribute positively to GDPin the short term (it counts as production), "bloated" inventories can signal that consumer demand is slowing and retailers may soon be forced to slash prices (deflationary). Conversely, low inventories can signal strong sales but may also indicate supply chain bottlenecks.
🟢 Beat (Higher) 📈: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ↔️/▼
🔴 Miss (Lower) 📉: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ↔️/▲
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
📈 = Inventory Building—Retailers are stocking up for expected demand (Bullish) OR goods are sitting on shelves because sales are slow (Bearish).
📉 = Inventory Depletion—Stronger-than-expected sales are clearing shelves (Bullish) OR retailers are pessimistic about future demand and aren't restocking (Bearish). -
8:30 – 8:31amAdvance Goods Trade Balance — Est. TBD | Prev. -134.9B📅 Release: 8:30 AM ET
📅 Period: October 2026
🎯 Forecast: TBD
🕐 Previous: -134.9B
📋 Source: Census
📋 Tier: T3
📋 Details:
The Advance U.S. International Trade in Goods report provides the earliest look at the U.S. trade deficit for physical merchandise. It excludes services (like tourism or finance) but covers nearly 75% of total trade value. It is released alongside Advance Wholesale and Retail Inventories. Because it is a direct input for the first "Advance" GDP calculation, a surprise narrowing or widening of this balance often triggers an immediate revision in GDP models, moving the needle for the USD and Treasuries.
🟢 Beat (Narrowing Deficit) 📈: USD ▲ | Yields ▲ | Equities ▲
🔴 Miss (Widening Deficit) 📉: USD ▼ | Yields ▼ | Equities ▼
➡️ In-Line (Neutral): USD ↔️ | Yields ↔️ | Equities ↔️
Potential Economic Insight:
📈 = Export Dominance—U.S. goods are in high demand or domestic demand for imports is cooling; a positive contributor to GDP.
📉 = Import Surge—Domestic consumption is outpacing production; acts as a "drag" on the upcoming GDP print.