Trading Ranch Calendar

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July 2026

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1
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
10:00am ⚙️ ISM Mfg PMI — Jul 2026 (index (50 = neutral))
2
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
3
NYSE Closed (CME Closed)
🎆 Independence Day (observed)
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
4
🎆 Independence Day
5
6
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
7
CL Roll Day — Aug 2026
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
8
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
9
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
10
8:30am 💼 NFP — Jul 2026 (jobs added (k))
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
11
12
13
8:30am 🏭 PPI — Jul 2026 (m/m & y/y)
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
14
8:30am 💵 CPI — Jul 2026 (m/m & y/y)
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
9:30am CPI Release — Jun 2026
15
SI Roll Day — Jul 2026
VX Roll Day — Jul 2026
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
16
8:30am 🛍️ Retail Sales — Jul 2026 (m/m)
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
17
📅 Monthly OPEX — July 2026
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
18
19
20
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
21
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
22
VIX Options Expiration — Jul 2026
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
23
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
24
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
25
26
27
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
28
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
10:00am 😊 Consumer Confidence — Jul 2026 (index)
29
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
30
8:30am 📈 GDP — Jul 2026 (q/q annualized)
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call
2:00pm 🏦 FOMC — Jul 2026 (rate decision (bps))
31
8:30am 📊 Core PCE — Jul 2026 (m/m & y/y (core))
9:00am NY Open Live Voice Call

Upcoming Events

Tuesday, March 31

  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.
  • 10:00 – 10:01am
    JOLTS Job Openings 6.88M (est. 6.89M)
    📊 JOLTS Job Openings — Feb 2026
    📅 Released: 2026-03-31 at 10:00 AM ET

    📈 ACTUAL RESULTS
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Job Openings: 6.88M ← KEY NUMBER
    MoM Change: -0.36M
    Hires: 4.85M
    Quits: 2.97M
    Total Separations: 4.97M

    📋 vs PREVIOUS MONTH
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    JOL: 6.88M vs 7.24M (↓ falling)

    🏛️ LABOR MARKET CONTEXT
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Job openings at 6.88M — healthy, post-pandemic normalization.

    📝 RELEASE NOTES
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🟡 IN-LINE | (surprise: -0.01M) | JOL 6.88M vs 6.89M exp (below (weak)) | 📊 Job openings at 6.88M — healthy, post-pandemic normalization.

    https://www.bls.gov/jlt/
  • 12:45 – 1:45pm
    NT8 AutoTrading Class w/ BullBarbie
    BullBarbie teaches The Trading Ranch NT8 Algo Trading for Beginners

Wednesday, April 1

  • 8:15 – 8:16am
    ADP Nonfarm Employment (est. 40K)
    ═══════════════════════════════════════
    🟠 ORANGE FOLDER / TIER 2 — ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT
    ═══════════════════════════════════════

    💼 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change — Mar 2026
    📅 Release: 2026-04-01 at 8:15 AM ET
    🏛️ Source: ADP Research Institute / Moody's Analytics
    ⚡ Impact: HIGH

    ⚡ POTENTIAL MARKET REACTIONS
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🔥 HOT → More jobs than expected → USD ⬆, Yields ⬆, Stocks mixed (hawkish)
    🧊 COOL → Fewer jobs than expected → USD ⬇, Yields ⬇, Stocks mixed (dovish)
    ➡️ IN-LINE → In-line → muted reaction, traders focus on trend and NFP setup

    📌 KEY NUMBERS TO WATCH
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    1. Employment Change — HIGHEST
    Headline monthly employment change. Sets tone into NFP.
    2. Month-over-Month Trend — HIGH
    Consecutive months of beats/misses > single reading.
    3. NFP Preview Signal — HIGH
    ADP historically diverges from NFP; large gap = NFP surprise risk.
    4. Fed Rate Path Implication — MEDIUM
    Beat → slower Fed cuts. Miss → accelerates dovish pivot.

    🏛️ FED RELEVANCE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    The ADP National Employment Report is a leading private-sector labor market indicator, released one day before the BLS Non-Farm Payrolls report. While ADP and NFP can diverge significantly in any single month, sustained ADP strength signals a tight labor market that may delay Fed rate cuts. A sharp ADP miss can shift rate-cut expectations and weaken the USD.

    📡 CONSENSUS ESTIMATE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Employment Change: 40K
    Source: InsightSentry / Forex Factory

    📋 PREVIOUS (Feb 2026)
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Employment Change: +63K

    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🐓 Auto-tracked by RanchSquawk AI
    Results will be updated after release.
    📋 NFP releases this Friday at 8:30 AM ET
    https://adpemploymentreport.com/
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Thursday, April 2

  • 8:30 – 8:31am
    Unemployment Claims (est. 212K)
    ═══════════════════════════════════════
    🔴 RED FOLDER / TIER 1 — UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS
    ═══════════════════════════════════════

    📊 Unemployment Claims — WE Mar 28, 2026
    📅 Release: 2026-04-02 at 8:30 AM ET
    🏛️ Source: Dept. of Labor (DOL)
    ⚡ Impact: HIGH

    ⚡ POTENTIAL MARKET REACTIONS
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🔥 HOT → Lower-than-expected claims → USD ⬆, Yields ⬆, Stocks mixed (hawkish)
    🧊 COOL → Higher-than-expected claims → USD ⬇, Yields ⬇, Stocks mixed (dovish)
    ➡️ IN-LINE → In-line → muted reaction, traders focus on trend and continuing claims

    📌 KEY NUMBERS TO WATCH
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    1. Initial Claims — HIGHEST
    The headline number. Below 200K = very tight. 200–250K = healthy. 300K+ = concern.
    2. Continuing Claims — HIGH
    Shows if displaced workers are finding jobs. Rising CC = labor market softening.
    3. IC WoW Change — HIGH
    Week-over-week direction. Sustained increases signal layoff acceleration.
    4. 4-Week Avg IC — MEDIUM
    Smooths weekly noise. Trend direction matters more than any single week.

    🏛️ FED RELEVANCE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Weekly claims are the most timely labor market indicator — the Fed watches them for real-time deterioration signals. A sustained rise above 250K historically precedes recessions by 2–4 months. Continuing claims reveal whether laid-off workers are finding new jobs quickly.

    📡 CONSENSUS ESTIMATE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Initial Claims: 212K
    Source: InsightSentry / Forex Factory

    📋 PREVIOUS (WE Mar 21, 2026)
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Initial Claims: 210K

    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🐓 Auto-tracked by RanchSquawk AI
    Results will be updated after release.
    https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Friday, April 3

  • All Day
    NYSE Closed (CME Open)
    Good Friday

    Equities: Closed
    (No regular 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET session)

    CME Globex Equity Index Futures (ES, NQ, RTY):
    Trades normally — CME Globex equity index futures are NOT closed on Good Friday.
    Regular session: Sunday 6:00 PM – Friday 5:00 PM ET.
  • All Day
    ✝️ Good Friday
    US Observance
  • 8:30 – 8:31am
    Unemployment Rate — Mar 2026
    ═══════════════════════════════════════
    🔴 RED FOLDER — UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
    ═══════════════════════════════════════

    📊 Unemployment Rate (U-3) — Mar 2026
    📅 Release: 2026-04-03 at 8:30 AM ET
    🏛️ Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
    ⚡ Impact: HIGH


    ⚡ POTENTIAL MARKET REACTIONS
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🔥 HOT → Lower-than-expected rate → USD ⬆, Yields ⬆, Stocks mixed (tight labor = hawkish)
    🧊 COOL → Higher-than-expected rate → USD ⬇, Yields ⬇, Stocks mixed (weak labor = dovish)
    ➡️ IN-LINE → In-line → muted, traders look to payrolls + earnings for direction

    📌 KEY NUMBERS TO WATCH
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    1. U-3 Rate — HIGHEST
    The headline U-3 rate is the #1 labor number. A 0.1pp surprise can move ES 10-20 points.
    2. MoM Change — HIGH
    MoM direction — consecutive rises trigger Sahm Rule recession fears.
    3. U-6 Rate — MEDIUM
    Broader underemployment incl. discouraged + involuntary part-time workers.
    4. Participation — MEDIUM
    Falling participation can mask true joblessness. Traders validate U-3 with this.

    🏛️ FED RELEVANCE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    The unemployment rate is the Fed's primary labor market gauge (half of its dual mandate). A rising rate signals recession risk and accelerates rate cuts. A low/falling rate means tight labor, wage pressure, and patience on cuts. The Sahm Rule: a 0.5pp rise in the 3-month average from its 12-month low signals recession.


    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🐓 Auto-tracked by RanchSquawk AI
    Results will be updated after release.

Sunday, April 5

  • All Day
    🐣 Easter Sunday
    US Observance

Monday, April 6

  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Tuesday, April 7

  • All Day
    CL Roll Day — May 2026
    WTI CRUDE OIL (CL) — ROLL DAY
    May 2026 Delivery (CLK26)

    Approximate volume crossover date. Front-month liquidity typically
    declines ~10 business days before expiry. Most traders roll during
    this window to avoid thinning markets.

    Key Dates:
    Typical Roll Window : ~10 biz days before LTD
    Roll Day (Today) : Tuesday, April 07, 2026 <-- approx. crossover
    Last Trading Day : Tuesday, April 21, 2026

    Contract : CL — WTI Crude Oil (NYMEX)

    Rolling From : May 2026 Delivery (CLK26)
    Rolling To : June 2026 Delivery (CLM26)

    Typical Roll Behavior:
    ~10 biz days out : early institutional rolls begin
    ~5 biz days out : majority of volume migrates to next contract
    Final days : liquidity in front month drops sharply

    ⚠ Physical delivery obligation for holders who do not roll.
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Wednesday, April 8

  • All Day
    VX Roll Day — Apr 2026
    VIX FUTURES (VX) — ROLL DAY
    April 2026 (VXJ26)

    Approximate volume crossover date (~5 business days before LTD).
    VX rolls are typically executed in the week leading up to expiry.

    Key Dates:
    Roll Day (Today) : Wednesday, April 08, 2026 <-- approx. crossover
    Last Trading Day : Wednesday, April 15, 2026 (Wednesday)

    Contract : VX — VIX Futures (CFE — CBOE Futures Exchange)

    Rolling From : April 2026 (VXJ26) (VXJ26)
    Rolling To : May 2026 (VXK26) (VXK26)

    Settlement Note:
    On LTD (Wednesday), final settlement is based on the SOQ of the
    VIX index, calculated from the opening prices of SPX options.
    Unlike equity index futures, VX settles on the same day as LTD.
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Thursday, April 9

  • 8:30 – 8:31am
    Unemployment Claims
    ═══════════════════════════════════════
    🔴 RED FOLDER / TIER 1 — UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS
    ═══════════════════════════════════════

    📊 Unemployment Claims — WE Apr 4, 2026
    📅 Release: 2026-04-09 at 8:30 AM ET
    🏛️ Source: Dept. of Labor (DOL)
    ⚡ Impact: HIGH

    ⚡ POTENTIAL MARKET REACTIONS
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🔥 HOT → Lower-than-expected claims → USD ⬆, Yields ⬆, Stocks mixed (hawkish)
    🧊 COOL → Higher-than-expected claims → USD ⬇, Yields ⬇, Stocks mixed (dovish)
    ➡️ IN-LINE → In-line → muted reaction, traders focus on trend and continuing claims

    📌 KEY NUMBERS TO WATCH
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    1. Initial Claims — HIGHEST
    The headline number. Below 200K = very tight. 200–250K = healthy. 300K+ = concern.
    2. Continuing Claims — HIGH
    Shows if displaced workers are finding jobs. Rising CC = labor market softening.
    3. IC WoW Change — HIGH
    Week-over-week direction. Sustained increases signal layoff acceleration.
    4. 4-Week Avg IC — MEDIUM
    Smooths weekly noise. Trend direction matters more than any single week.

    🏛️ FED RELEVANCE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Weekly claims are the most timely labor market indicator — the Fed watches them for real-time deterioration signals. A sustained rise above 250K historically precedes recessions by 2–4 months. Continuing claims reveal whether laid-off workers are finding new jobs quickly.

    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🐓 Auto-tracked by RanchSquawk AI
    Results will be updated after release.
    https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Friday, April 10

  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Monday, April 13

  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Tuesday, April 14

  • All Day
    GC Roll Day — Apr 2026
    COMEX METALS (GC) — ROLL DAY

    Approximate volume crossover date. Front-month liquidity typically
    declines ~10 business days before expiry. Most metals traders roll
    2+ weeks before LTD to avoid delivery risk.

    Key Dates:
    Roll Day (Today) : Tuesday, April 14, 2026 To:
    GC April 2026 Delivery (GCJ26) -> June 2026 Delivery (GCM26)

    Typical Roll Behavior:
    ~10 biz days out : crossover — back-month volume grows
    Final week : liquidity in front month drops sharply

    ⚠ Physical delivery obligation for holders who do not roll.
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Wednesday, April 15

  • All Day
    VIX Options Expiration — Apr 2026
    VIX OPTIONS EXPIRATION — April 2026

    VIX options and VX futures share the same final settlement date:
    the Wednesday 30 days before the 3rd Friday of the following month.

    Settlement:
    Settlement Day : Wednesday, April 15, 2026 (today)
    Method : Special Opening Quotation (SOQ) of the VIX index,
    calculated from the opening prices of SPX options
    on the morning of expiration.
    Note : VIX options are European-style (cash-settled, no early exercise).

    What Settles Today:
    VIX Options — CBOE VIX options, standard monthly contract
    VX Futures — CBOE Futures Exchange (CFE) VIX futures

    Key Dates:
    VIX / VX Expiration (Today) : Wednesday, April 15, 2026
    Next OPEX Friday : Friday, April 17, 2026

    Typical Behavior:
    The VIX SOQ can differ significantly from the prior day's VIX close
    because it is calculated from the actual opening prices of SPX options,
    not from the VIX index itself. Positions cannot be closed at expiry;
    traders must roll or close before the Wednesday open.
  • All Day
    Tax Day
    US Observance
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Thursday, April 16

  • 8:30 – 8:31am
    Unemployment Claims
    ═══════════════════════════════════════
    🔴 RED FOLDER / TIER 1 — UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS
    ═══════════════════════════════════════

    📊 Unemployment Claims — WE Apr 11, 2026
    📅 Release: 2026-04-16 at 8:30 AM ET
    🏛️ Source: Dept. of Labor (DOL)
    ⚡ Impact: HIGH

    ⚡ POTENTIAL MARKET REACTIONS
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🔥 HOT → Lower-than-expected claims → USD ⬆, Yields ⬆, Stocks mixed (hawkish)
    🧊 COOL → Higher-than-expected claims → USD ⬇, Yields ⬇, Stocks mixed (dovish)
    ➡️ IN-LINE → In-line → muted reaction, traders focus on trend and continuing claims

    📌 KEY NUMBERS TO WATCH
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    1. Initial Claims — HIGHEST
    The headline number. Below 200K = very tight. 200–250K = healthy. 300K+ = concern.
    2. Continuing Claims — HIGH
    Shows if displaced workers are finding jobs. Rising CC = labor market softening.
    3. IC WoW Change — HIGH
    Week-over-week direction. Sustained increases signal layoff acceleration.
    4. 4-Week Avg IC — MEDIUM
    Smooths weekly noise. Trend direction matters more than any single week.

    🏛️ FED RELEVANCE
    ─────────────────────────────────────
    Weekly claims are the most timely labor market indicator — the Fed watches them for real-time deterioration signals. A sustained rise above 250K historically precedes recessions by 2–4 months. Continuing claims reveal whether laid-off workers are finding new jobs quickly.

    ─────────────────────────────────────
    🐓 Auto-tracked by RanchSquawk AI
    Results will be updated after release.
    https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Friday, April 17

  • All Day
    📅 Monthly OPEX — April 2026
    MONTHLY OPTIONS EXPIRATION (OPEX) — April 2026

    Standard monthly options expiration for equity and index options.
    No equity index futures expire this month (non-witching cycle).

    What Expires Today:
    1. Individual Stock Options — standard monthly (PM-settled, 4:00 PM ET)
    2. Index Options (AM-settled) — SPX, NDX, RUT standard monthly
    These stop trading Thursday 4:15 PM ET and settle Friday at the SOQ.
    Note: Equity index futures (ES/NQ/YM/RTY) do NOT expire this month.

    Settlement Timing:
    9:30 AM ET : SOQ for AM-settled index options (SPX/NDX/RUT standard monthly)
    4:00 PM ET : PM-settled equity options and SPX weekly options expire

    Key Dates:
    VIX Options Exp (SOQ) : Wednesday, April 15, 2026 (Wednesday)
    OPEX (Today) : Friday, April 17, 2026

    Typical Market Behavior:
    Thursday close : AM-settled index options stop trading
    Friday open : SOQ for AM-settled options — often a volatile instant
    Friday intraday: pin risk — stocks may gravitate toward high-OI strikes
    Friday close : dealer gamma exposure resets as equity options expire

    AM-Settled Index Options (stop trading Thursday 4:15 PM ET):
    SPX standard monthly, NDX standard monthly, RUT standard monthly
    These settle at the Friday SOQ — you CANNOT trade out at the open.

    PM-Settled Options (trade until Friday 4:00 PM ET):
    All individual equity options, SPX weekly options (SPXW)
  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.

Monday, April 20

  • 9:00am – 12:00pm
    NY Open Live Voice Call
    The Trading Ranch trades the open on live voice in The Trading Ranch Discord.